I have some Bitcoin. About $360 worth today Sunday April 19 2020. It was about 400 dollars worth on the day of this original post Thursday April 16.2020. Just 3 days ago.
Ever the optimist I see this as the Bitcoin tiger crouching down prior to a giant leap up. I can't be more precise because the price is very volatile.
December 2017 my Bitcoin holding rose to around the $4000 value mark, but has gone downhill since.
I'm consoled that I haven't invested any money in Bitcoin, only my time spent writing articles on Steemit, where you are paid in Steem Dollars (Stock symbol SBD)Which I exchange/sell for Bitcoin.
$400 may seem small reward for the hundreds of articles involving countless hours of writing ,but the main value for me, a widower living alone, is it provides a purpose, an invaluable remedy for loneliness.
It could yet pay off financially too, if the article below by Dan Held, an expert on the Crypto-currency Exchange, Kraken, comes true.
Predictions of Bitcoin lift-off have been made many times before, which partly accounts for the volatility. But the Corona Virus threat to the world economy causing government money borrowing on a scale never ever seen, will cause nervous holders of capital to look for alternative safe stores for some or all of their money.
Gold and silver are traditionally the hedge as stores of value. Now though, crypto currencies offer an additional alternative. They are called independent Peer to Peer currencies. I can pay you, or a supplier of goods or services, that accept cryptocurrency, as more and more shops and services are doing, direct, without involving a bank. (Be aware - Governments' are talking of making crypto currencies illegal - But can they? Dare they? The Genie is out of the bottle?)
Now read the article by Dan Held, The director of business development at Kraken.
He believes that the environment is ripe for Bitcoin to begin a major long-term bull run.
In a new YouTube interview with Lark Davis, aka the Crypto Lark, Dan Held explains why he thinks Bitcoin’s time has come. So far, Held argues, Bitcoin has managed to weather the worst of the coronavirus pandemic without the need for intervention.
“We’ve got a halvening happening in a few weeks time in May. We’ve got a huge macro backdrop where banks are literally printing a million dollars a second, which happened a few weeks ago with the US, the Fed and the Treasury.
And so, there couldn’t be a better moment for Bitcoin than now. I’ve waited eight years to see this.” The crypto exchange executive says the industry as a whole has grown immensely over the years, citing the rise in the number of investors holding onto BTC (BTC is the stock symbol for Bitcoin) as well as an increase in mainstream coverage from outlets like CNBC.
According to Held, the current macro backdrop is fuel for the world’s leading cryptocurrency, considering its limited total supply of 21 million units. Optimistic about Bitcoin’s future, Held points to a contrarian argument that BTC could begin a “super cycle” and move far beyond even the most bullish predictions.
“We’re seeing a scenario where there’s a literal infinite amount of fiat that will be printed, and there’s only 21 million Bitcoin. It’s hard to predict, but long-term, maybe late 2021, is when a lot of the models predict what we might see in historical cycles.
The classic models show us at $80,000 to $300,000 per Bitcoin. (Today,April 16th at around $6000 Per Bitcoin) We could see that. We could see something a little crazier. I call this the Bitcoin super cycle.
We could see Bitcoin enter a super cycle where everyone’s seen that graph of Bitcoin’s price – that log price graph, and you get a little boom bust, boom bust, boom bust.
But what if [BTC] went a level step up on a log chart? Remember the wheelbarrow image of hyper inflation money needed to buy a loaf of bread in Germany after the 1914-18 war?
If the world truly fears their money being devalued – every institution, every sovereign wealth fund, every central bank – if they all truly fear that, Bitcoin’s not going to stop at $100,000 or $300,000 per Bitcoin. It could go up to a million or two.”
Despite his optimism, Held warns that Bitcoin is not for everyone, and says anyone considering an investment in the extremely risky asset must be prepared for BTC to lose 85% of its value at any time. (Golden Rule - Only invest money you can afford to lose)
“After you get through your first time of losing 85% of your net worth – that’s happened to me three times. Early 2013, late 2013 and 2017… It’s really hard to hold Bitcoin.
The volatility is so intense… Satoshi Nakomoto(The inventor of Bitcoin)actually hypothesized that Bitcoin’s intense volatility would act as a viral loop bringing people into Bitcoin.
He said, as the price increases, more people [will] become aware of it, and wanting to take advantage of the increasing value they buy in, which then further pumps up the price and brings more awareness.
And he wrote this before Bitcoin was worth a penny. So Satoshi very intimately understood human psychology. And all my bet really is,will people choose to preserve their wealth? Which is almost unanimously yes. And will they act greedy? And both are kind of one and the same, and I think we can assume humans will act like humans.”
No comments:
Post a Comment